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"Best Trade" Newsletter (September 21, 2005) - open trade
9/21/2005
In the following example, we have based our QQQQ options trades on S&P 500 index volume indicators and on advance / decline indicators. Using the principles outlined below, you may wish to trade options on the SPDRs (SPY), ^SPX, DIAMONDS Trust, Series 1 (DIA), as well as on other underlies that generally tend to move in concert with the S&P 500 index. It is also conceivable that an analysis similar to the one shown below could be used to trade options based on the NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, and other indexes.
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations. For this Best trade, A trade (Buy Calls) is opened in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor. | Chart 1: | Options trades on the S&P 500 index modulated volume. September - October, 2005. |  |
| Chart 2: | S&P 500 Index A/D Issues Ratio |  |
In Table 1 - a ''Table of Trade Motivators'' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades. Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators | Date | Trading Decision | Indicator | Description | | 10/5-6/2005 | | High PVO* (buying VMA surge) | On October 5 and 6, 2005 we noted a high-magnitude buying volume surge. The (2/20) PVO was 15.6% and 15.1% respectively, indicating that that the average volume was more then 15% higher than it had been for the previous 20 trading days. | | 10/10/2005 | | Extremely Bearish sentiment** | On October 10, 2005 we noted extremely low market sentiment readings. The S&P 500 advance/decline (A/D) issues and A/D volume ratios reached critical levels of 0.09 and 0.14, respectively. This revealed an extremely bearish market sentiment. | | 10/20/2005 | | High PVO* (buying VMA surge) | On October 20, 2005 we noted a high-magnitude buying volume surge. The (2/20) PVO was 17.9%, indicating that that the average volume over the past 2 trading days was 17.9% higher than it had been for the previous 20 trading days. | | 10/21/2005 | Point A: Buy Calls | High PVO* (buying VMA surge) | On October 21, 2005 we noted a high-magnitude buying volume surge. The (2/20) PVO was 13.8%, indicating that that the average volume over the past 2 trading days was 13.8% higher than it had been for the previous 20 trading days. | * High PVO (Percentage Volume Oscillator) values indicate volume surges. As a rule, significant volume surges point to coming market reversals. ** Extremely bearish/bullish sentiment indicates that the market is oversold (or overbought) and thus prone to trend reversals. |
Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved.
Table 2: Details of the trades | Date | Trade | Strike | Expiration | Contracts | Contract Price | Amount | Profit | | 10/21/2005 | Buy QQQAL Calls | $38 | 1/20/2006 | 60 | $1.70 | - $10,200 | |
For this Best trade, A trade (Buy Calls) is opened in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor. In choosing the options for these trades, the following criteria were used: - We chose options with at least two months left until expiry;
- We chose the cheapest available in-the-money options
9/21/2005 HGH Associated Traders
List of Trading Newsletters sent out in 2005
| Date |
|
| December 27, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (December 27, 2005) |
| November 25, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 25, 2005) - open trade |
| November 09, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 9, 2005) - open trade |
| November 02, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (November 02, 2005) |
| September 21, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (September 21, 2005) |
| September 21, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (September 21, 2005) - open trade |
| July 21, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (July 21, 2005) |
| June 24, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (June 24, 2005) |
| June 17, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (June 17, 2005) |
| April 18, 2005 |
"Best Trade" Newsletter (April 18, 2005) |
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