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12/12/2006
For this Best trade, "Buy Calls" trade is opened We expect to close "Buy Calls" trade once the SBV Oscillator advances above plus 33% and then declines back to below that level (based on NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV Oscillator chart with 240-min VMA). We may buy puts at the same moment. If the index does not move in our favor we expect to fix loses "Buy Calls" trade once the SBV Oscillator falls below minus 33% (based on NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV Oscillator chart with 240-min VMA). Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations. In Table 1 - a ''Table of Trade Motivators'' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades. Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators We left "Buy Calls" trade opened in order to close it later if the index moves in our favor. We expect to close "Buy Calls" trade once the SBV Oscillator advances above plus 33% and then declines back to below that level (based on NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV Oscillator chart with 240-min VMA). Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved. 12/12/2006 In this example, we have based our QQQQ options trades on NASDAQ 100 volume indicators (PVO, SBV Oscillator). Using the principles outlined above, you may wish to trade options on the SPDRs (SPY), ^SPX, DIAMONDS (DIA). It is also conceivable that an analysis similar to the one shown below could be used to trade options based on the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and other indexes.
in order to close them later with profit if the index moves in our favor.Chart 1: NASDAQ 100 SBV Oscillator
December, 2006. 15-day View, 240-min VMA.
Date Trading
DecisionMotivation 12/7/06 High-magnitude buying surges were noted in some market sectors. The NASDAQ 100 (1/10) PVO was 18%, indicating that the volume seen on this day exceeded the average volume over the previous 10 trading days by 18%. The (1/10) PVO the S&P 500 was 10%. 12/12/06 Buy Calls SBV oscillator dropped below minus 33% and advanced above that level back on November 28, 2006 (see NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV chart with 240-min VMA). This reveals that there is a chance of a short-term move up and we bought calls options.
Table 2: Details of the tradesDate Trade Strike Expiration Contracts Contract
PriceBuy QQQBR Calls $44 Feb., 2007 80 $1.35
12/12/2006
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