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4/17/2006
For this “Best trade”, A trade (Buy Calls) is opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor.
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations.
| Chart 1: | S&P 500 Volume
Surges - April, 2006. |
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Chart 2: | S&P 500 Advance/Decline Volume Ratio - April, 2006. |
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In Table 1 - a 'Table of Trade Motivators' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.
Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators
| Date |
Trading Decision | Motivation |
| 04/07/2006 | On April 7, 2006 we noted low market sentiment readings. The S&P 500 advance/decline (A/D) issues and A/D volume ratios reached strongly bearish levels of 0.13 and 0.11 around 15:41, respectively. This revealed an extremely bearish market sentiment, indicating the market was oversold and thus prone to trend reversals. | |
| 04/11/2006 | On April 11, 2006 we noted low market sentiment readings. The S&P 500 advance/decline (A/D) issues and A/D volume ratios reached strongly bearish levels of 0.12 and 0.13 around 15:37, respectively. This revealed an extremely bearish market sentiment, indicating the market was oversold and thus prone to trend reversals. | |
| 04/17/2006 | Buy Calls | On April 17, 2006, we noted a high-magnitude buying volume surge. The bulk of this volume surge occurred after 12:25, at a time when the index was in decline (see 1-day index volume charts and apply a 15-minute VMA). |
Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved.
Table 2: Details of the trades
| Date | Trade | Strike | Expiration | Contracts | Contract Price |
|
04/17/2006 |
Buy QQQFO Calls | $41 | 6/16/2006 | 80 | $1.60 |
Fast Answers:
If one of your trades has not yet been terminated (by the time you report it as a “Best Trade), should I try to follow it?
We do not wish to suggest that you should mimic these actual trades, even if they are still open. Only follow an open trade if you are aware of the risks involved and if you have access to real-time intraday volume and advance/decline charts (you can get these from www.MarketVolume.com). For logistical reasons, we cannot always send our newsletters out exactly at the moment we open or close a specific trade. Even if we could, it might be too late, since the market can react strongly to intraday volume surges or negative/positive sentiment readings in our A/D indicators.
4/17/2006
HGH Associated Traders
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