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10/11/2007
For this “Best trade”, "Buy Puts" trade is opened Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations. In Table 1 - a ''Table of Trade Motivators'' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades. Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators Considering the fact that current 60-days SBV(20) readings on the NASDAQ 100, S&P 500 and Dow are moving down, we could consider the potential down-move. The fact that SBV oscillator readings have started to decline would tend to favor a coming down-move; today’s slide may have marked the beginning of a new corrective down-move. SBV oscillator declined below plus 20% (after having been above that level) based on the 15-day SBV(16) chart. This reveals that there is a chance of a short-term move down. Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved. 9/24/2007 9/28/2007 10/11/2007 In this example, we have based our QQQQ options trade on the NASDAQ 100 volume indicators (PVO, SBV Oscillator). Using the principles outlined above, you may wish to trade options on the SPY, ^SPX, DIAMONDS (DIA). It is also conceivable that an analysis similar to the one shown below could be used to trade options based on the NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, and other indexes. ©HGH Associated Traders Important: The analysis results presented in the “Best Trade" may differ from the outlook presented in the daily Market Commentaries. Results may also differ from the trading signals generated for Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), or from any other research and analysis efforts shared with our members. These are products developed by independent research teams, delivered to MarketVolume® members. While sharing some research results, these autonomous research teams may use different systems and may have dissimilar market outlooks.
in order to close them later with profit if the index moves in our favor.Chart 1:
NASDAQ 100 60-day SBV(20)
Date
Trading
Decision
Motivation 09/18/2007 High-magnitude selling volume surges were noted in all market sectors. The volume on the NASDAQ 100 exceeded the average daily volume over the last 10 session by 17%. On the S&P 500, volume was 24% higher than the average daily volume seen over the last 10 session. On the Dow, volume was 23% higher. 09/19/2007 High-magnitude selling volume surges were noted in all market sectors. The volume on the NASDAQ 100 exceeded the average daily volume over the last 10 session by 21%. On the S&P 500, volume was 25% higher than the average daily volume seen over the last 10 session. On the Dow, volume was 26% higher. 09/21/2007 High-magnitude selling volume surges were noted in NASDAQ 100 sector. The volume on the NASDAQ 100 exceeded the average daily volume over the last 10 session by 42%. 09/10/2007
Buy Puts The SBV oscillator declined to plus 20% (after having been above that level) based on the NASDAQ 100 60-day SBV(20) chart. 09/28/2007
Buy Puts The SBV oscillator declined to plus 20% (after having been above that level) based on the NASDAQ 100 60-day SBV(20) chart. 10/10/2007 The SBV oscillator declined below plus 20% (after having been above that level) based on the S&P 500 and DJI 60-day SBV(20) chart. The NASDAQ 100 SBV dropped to plus 23% only. That reveals the possibility of coming reversal. 10/11/2007 Buy Puts We now see greater chances for a correction based on the fact that SBV oscillator readings started to drop again on the 60-day SBV(20) chart. Heightening the risk for a downside correction is also the large accumulation of selling volume that has built up over the past month on the same chart.
Table 2: Details of the tradesDate Trade Strike Expiration Contracts Contract
PriceBuy QQQWZ Puts $52 Nov, 2007 60 $1.95 Buy QQQWZ Puts $52 Nov, 2007 60 $1.60 Buy QQQWZ Puts $52 Nov, 2007 140 $0.75 Disclaimer: This newsletter is intended for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice, nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. This newsletter illustrates examples based principally on MarketVolume® index volume indicators and advance/decline (AD) indicators. We do not mean to imply that you should follow our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our analytics to develop your own trading style.
10/11/2007
HGH Associated Traders
List of Trading Newsletters sent out in 2007
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