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11/12/2007
"Best
This newsletter is intended for educational purposes only – it does not constitute trading advice, nor does it make or imply any market trend predictions. This newsletter illustrates examples based principally on MarketVolume® index volume indicators and advance/decline (AD) indicators. We do not mean to imply that you should follow our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our analytics to develop your own trading style.
This "best trade" is a continuation of previous "Best trade" newsletter posted (sent to MV subscribers) on November 6, 2007.
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations.
| Chart 1: | S&P 500 60-day 15-day SBV(20) |
In Table 1 - a ''Table of Trade Motivators'' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.
Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators
| Date | Trading Decision | Motivation |
| 11/1/2007 | Advance/decline volume and issues ratios hit critically low levels: 0.03 A/D issues ratio and 0.07 A/D volume ratio for S&P 500 | |
| 11/6/2007 | Buy Calls | SBV oscillator advanced above minus 20% (after having been below that level) based on the 60-day SBV(16) chart. This reveals that there is a chance of move up. Since the S&P 500 index shows bigger then NASDAQ 100 accumulation of the buying volume we decided to go with SPY options. |
| 11/7/2007 | Advance/decline volume and issues ratios hit critically low levels. We saw following readings: 0.12 A/D issues ratio and 0.20 A/D volume ratio for NASDAQ 100, 0.03 A/D issues ratio and 0.06 A/D volume ratio for S&P 500, 0.03 A/D issues ratio and 0.01 A/D volume ratio for DJI High-magnitude Buying volume surges were noted in all market sectors. The volume on the NASDAQ 100 exceeded the average daily volume over the last 10 session by 8%. On the S&P 500, volume was 11% higher than the average daily volume seen over the last 10 session. On the Dow, volume was 8% higher. | |
| 11/8/2007 | High-magnitude Buying volume surges were noted in all market sectors. The volume on the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 indexes exceeded the average daily volume over the last 10 session by 40%. On the Dow, volume was 41% higher. | |
| 11/12/2007 | Buy Calls | SBV oscillator started to advanced based on the 60-day SBV(20) chart. This reveals that there is a chance of a short-term move up. |
Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved.
Table 2: Details of the trades
| Date | Trade | Strike | Expiration | Contracts | Contract Price |
11/6/2007 | Buy SYHLU Calls | $151 | Dec, 2007 | 20 | $4.75 |
11/12/2007 | Buy SFBLP Calls | $146 | Dec, 2008 | 30 | $3.95 |
11/12/2007
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