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12/24/2007
+$11,120 (+39%) in 2 weeks
This "best trade" is a continuation of previous "Best trade" newsletter posted (sent to MV subscribers) on December 20, 2007.
| Security | Return | |
| Calls (SPY - SYHBU) | +$2,000 | +22% |
| Calls (SPY - SYHAT) | -$1,680 | -18% |
| Calls (SPY - SYHAT) | +$10,800 | +80% |
| +$11,120 | +39% | |
Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations.
| Chart 1: | S&P 500 60-day Chart |
 | |
In Table 1 - a ''Table of Trade Motivators'' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.
Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators
| Date | Trading Decision | Motivation |
| 12/11/2007 | Buy Calls | Today''s precipitous drop was associated with a huge buying surge. In fact, today''s volume output exceeded the average volume generated over the past nine sessions by 27% on the Dow, by 19% on the S&P 500, and by 5% on the NASDAQ 100. The largest volume surge was noted on the AMEX; here, today''s volume output exceeded the average volume production over the last nine sessions by 35%. Advance/decline volume and issues ratios hit critically low levels. We saw following readings: 0.04 A/D issues ratio and 0.09 A/D volume ratio for S&P 500. |
| 12/12/2007 | Sell Calls | The dominant buying surge that was created yesterday afternoon following the Fed’s announcement on interest rates manifested in a strong gap up opening on the NASDAQ 100 today; we found that it is safe to sell previously bought calls. |
| 12/12/2007 | Buy Calls | Late in today''s session, we witnessed another downswing on the major indexes. It generated a huge amount of buying volume. It is our assumption that the cumulative buying volume produced from the buying surges seen over the past two sessions could soon prompt a market recovery from Tuesday''s selloff and potentially lead to a resumption of the midterm uptrend. |
| 12/20/2007 | Buy Calls | SBV oscillator advanced above minus 20% based on the 60-day SBV(20) chart. This reveals that there is a chance of a short-term move up. |
| 12/21/2007 | Today''s volume output exceeded the average daily volume production seen over the past nine sessions by 15% on the Dow, by 23% on the NASDAQ 100, and by 12% on the S&P 500. The session''s largest volume production occurred on the S&P 600 where today''s volume production exceeded the average daily volume generated over the past nine sessions by a full 47%. | |
| 12/24/2007 | Sell Calls | Since bought calls expire in January (less then month), we consider that it is safe to sell previously bought calls. |
Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved.
Table 2: Details of the trades
| Date | Trade | Strike | Expiration | Contracts | Contract Price | Amount |
12/11/2007 | Buy SYHBU Calls | $151 | Feb, 2008 | 20 | $4.45 | -$8,900 |
12/12/2007 | Sell SYHBU Calls | $151 | Feb, 2008 | 20 | $5.45 | +$10,900 |
12/12/2007 | Buy SYHAT Calls | $150 | Jan, 2008 | 30 | $3.15 | -$9,450 |
12/20/2007 | Buy SYHAT Calls | $150 | Jan, 2008 | 80 | $1.24 | -$9,920 |
12/20/2007 | Sell SYHAT Calls | $150 | Jan, 2008 | 110 | $2.59 | +$28,490 |
Profit: | +$11,120 (39%) | |||||
12/24/2007
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