Technical Analysis.


Technical Analysis - NASDAQ 100 & S&P 500

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Market Indicators

Index Last %
NYSE 8481.54 0.19%
NASDAQ 2245.38 -0.27%
AMEX 2161.13 -1.14%
DJI 11288.54 0.65%
DJT 4678.75 0.55%
DJU 515.32 -0.62%
NASDAQ 100 1816.35 0.01%
S&P 100 578.13 0.48%
S&P 400 786.8 -1.09%
S&P 500 1262.9 0.11%
S&P 600 351.95 -0.95%

As of July 3,2008 22:39

@ MarketVolume.com

Best Short Term Trade:
May 1st, 2002

Our analysis of volume over the past week has resulted in the following trades using QQQQ Options by our conservative long-term trader.

Security Return
Call 1 (QQQQ June) -46%
Call 2 (QQQQ June) +132%

Even though not all the above trades were profitable, we still came out on top with a profit of 86%

Why deal in Options?
Options offer the potential of a high short-term return. Compared to futures, options are less risky, and don't require as much capital to trade. Those who trade options should reduce the risk by only trading options that are at least two or three months away from expiration, or as liquidity permits.

Why buy Call Options?
MarketVolume has recently seen volume signals that indicate we are in a support corridor, and since we bought June QQQQ options, we don't need to worry as much about short-term fluctuations as with futures, or a May call option.

We would like to make it clear to our members what the motivation was to make the above trades; therefore, we have created what we call a 'Table of Motivation', in which we try to make it clear the motivation that was behind each of the above trades.

Trade Motivation MV's Commentary on Members Home Page during the trade
B1 Call 1. There was a large volume spike as the index was declining

2. There were several concurrent volume spikes as the index was declining prior to making this trade.

1. The market is still in it's support corridor.
S1 Call 1. The stop-loss order that was placed for QQQQ was executed as the index declined further.

2. If on the way down there is a very large volume signal, buy QQQQ options at a lower price.

1. The market needs to see a large increase in the 1-day VMA before moving up.
B2 Call 1. Two very large spikes in the VMA indicated this was an excellent point to purchase QQQQ options. 1. The market could make a quick move upwards due to a 'shot squeeze'

2. The market is still in a support corridor.

S2 Call 1. As the index rose, there were 2 moderately large spikes in the VMA, which indicated the upward trend of the index will likely stop. 1. The market could jump up in the short-term.

2. There is not enough volume to justify that the market has hit it's actual support level, and therefore could continue moving down.

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
December 19, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
December 10, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 27, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 20, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
November 13, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
November 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100
October 25, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 25, 2002 NASDAQ 100
September 18, 2002 S&P 500
September 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 21 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
August 14 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 7, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 31, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 24, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 17, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
July 10, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
June 26, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 14, 2002 S&P 500
June 12, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 5, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 31, 2002 S&P 500
May 29, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 17, 2002 S&P 500
May 15, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 8, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 3, 2002 NASDAQ 100
May 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
April 28, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 3, 2002 S&P 500
February 25, 2002 S&P 500
February 8, 2002 NASDAQ 100
January 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
QQQQ Trading System
QQQQ, SPY and DIA trading signals for conservative mid- and long-7 term traders ...

QQQQ Signals
Past 2 Months

3%

7%

Compound Compound
Margin

As of 7/3/2008


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7/3/2008 - SV1