Technical Analysis.


Technical Analysis - NASDAQ 100 & S&P 500

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Market Indicators

Index Last %
NYSE 8481.54 0.19%
NASDAQ 2245.38 -0.27%
AMEX 2161.13 -1.14%
DJI 11288.54 0.65%
DJT 4678.75 0.55%
DJU 515.32 -0.62%
NASDAQ 100 1816.35 0.01%
S&P 100 578.13 0.48%
S&P 400 786.8 -1.09%
S&P 500 1262.9 0.11%
S&P 600 351.95 -0.95%

As of July 3,2008 22:37

@ MarketVolume.com

Best Short-Term Trade:
June 12th, 2002

Our analysis of volume over the past week has resulted in the following trades using QQQQ Options by our conservative mid-term trader.

Security Return
Put 1 (QQQQ July) +76%
Put 2 (QQQQ July) Holding

Total Earnings:

$13,230

Even though all the above trades were very conservative, we still came out on top with a profit of $13,230

Why trade Options?
Options offer the potential of a high short-term return. Compared to futures, options are less risky, and don't require as much capital to trade. Those who trade options should reduce the risk by only trading options that are at least two or three months away from expiration, or as liquidity permits.

Why buy July Puts?
Even though September Put options are more expensive, they tend to be less volatile in reaction to market swings, and they don't devalue as quickly as a current month option. By trading options that are at least one month ahead, we protect ourselves from unforeseen short-term fluctuations in the market.

We would like to make it clear to our members what the motivation was to make the above trades; therefore, we have created what we call a 'Table of Motivation', in which we try to make it clear the motivation that was behind each of the above trades.

Trade Motivation MV's Commentary on Members Home Page during the trade
Buy Put 1 Based on a large amount of volume, which occurred to the NASDAQ 100's upside, and the fact that MarketVolume's Market Commentary notes that the market is still in a downtrend until there is substantial volume to the downside, led to purchasing this put option for the QQQQ. Yesterday's volume to the upside on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes helped move the market lower today, and today there was still more volume to the upside. This behavior of the market leads us to believe that the current downtrend of the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes is going to continue.
Buy Put 2 There was a good deal of volume to the downside in the morning, which signaled that the market could move up in the short-term. Considering that MarketVolume's Market Commentary still says the market is in a downtrend couldn't be considered as this Market Commentary was for the previous day. Therefore, found that it would be a safe bet to close all open put options. Volume to the upside over the past few days eventually caused the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 to move lower today, but as they began to move lower, volume was beginning to increase to the downside. This supportive volume is not enough to cause the market to change from it's current downtrend, but it may be enough to cause the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes to move up in the short-term future. MarketVolume still analyses the market situation as a continuing downtrend, until there is enough supportive volume to denote otherwise.
Sell Put 1 Huge volume as the index moved higher later in the day signaled that the market will probably move lower in the short-term future, and therefore decided to open a new put for QQQQ and keep it open until the Market Commentary changes or there is substantial volume to the downside.

The same principles mentioned above works for trading S&P 500, S&P 100, Dow Jones, and other indexes.

Here is a detailed list of our investor's trades, which netted the above returns:

Date Put/
Call
Ctrcts Contract
Price
Index
Value
Strike VMA Amount Profit
6/7/02 B P1 315 $0.55 28.26 26 2,207,400 $17,325  
6/12/02 S P1 315 $0.97 27.37 26 1,771,400 $30,555 $13,230
6/12/02 B P2 225 $0.36 27.63 25 2,650,000 $8,100 Holding

Total:

+$13,230

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
December 19, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
December 10, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 27, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 20, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
November 13, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
November 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100
October 25, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 25, 2002 NASDAQ 100
September 18, 2002 S&P 500
September 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 21 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
August 14 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 7, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 31, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 24, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 17, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
July 10, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
June 26, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 14, 2002 S&P 500
June 12, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 5, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 31, 2002 S&P 500
May 29, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 17, 2002 S&P 500
May 15, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 8, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 3, 2002 NASDAQ 100
May 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
April 28, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 3, 2002 S&P 500
February 25, 2002 S&P 500
February 8, 2002 NASDAQ 100
January 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
QQQQ Trading System
QQQQ, SPY and DIA trading signals for conservative mid- and long-7 term traders ...

QQQQ Signals
Past 2 Months

3%

7%

Compound Compound
Margin

As of 7/3/2008


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7/3/2008 - SV1