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Best Short-Term Trade: August
7th, 2002
This week our professional trader decided to take part in
some volatility in the market by buying puts even though MarketVolume
mentioned this is the beginning of an uptrend. He was able to
capitalize on a large amount of volume to the upside of the S&P 500
index which signaled that the market would move lower.
|
Security |
Return |
| Put 1 (SPX Sept) |
+55.9% |
|
Total Profit: |
+$12,980 |

Even though all the above trades were very conservative, we
still came out on top with a
profit of
$12,980 over a couple of days!
Why buy expensive September Puts?
Even though September Put options are more
expensive, they tend to be less volatile in reaction to market swings, and
they don't devalue as quickly as a current month option. By trading options
that are at least one month ahead, we protect ourselves from unforeseen
short-term fluctuations in the market.
Puts were purchased not to go against the trend, which
MarketVolume said we were in the beginning of an uptrend, but to simply make
a profit off a short-term movement down, as a large amount of volume to the
upside signaled a short-term downward move.
We would like to make
it clear to our members what the motivation was to make the above trades;
therefore, we have created what we Put a 'Table of Motivation', in which we try
to make it clear the motivation that was behind each of the above trades.
|
Trade |
Motivation |
MV's Commentary on Members Home Page
during the trade |
| Buy Put 1 |
This was the second big volume to the upside that we
have seen within the week, and due to this the market could move lower
in the short-term, perhaps even hit it's support level again. Based on
this decided to buy puts even though MarketVolume's Market Commentary
states that the market is in the beginning of an uptrend. |
As the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes rose by
several percent today, by mid day volume began to accumulate once again. This
volume increase signaled to us that the indexes may fall back a bit, which they
did. By the end of the day there was some more supportive volume which may cause
the indexes to move higher in the short-term, but there is more of a chance that
the volume we saw midday will cause the indexes fall lower still. |
| Sell Put 1 |
There was a moderately large amount of supportive
volume to the downside today which signaled the market could move
higher in the short-term, and due to the fact that the market could be
in the beginning to an uptrend, decided that the best thing to do
would be to play is safe and close all open put positions at this
point. |
The NASDAQ 100 today has almost reached it's
support level, and the S&P 500 declined as well, but is still far from it's
support level. There is a chance that the NASDAQ 100, by hitting it's support
level and bouncing off, could cause the rest of the indexes to follow and begin
to go up again. |
The same principles mentioned above works for trading
NASDAQ 100, S&P 100, Dow Jones, and other indexes.
Here
is a detailed list of our investor's trades, which netted the above returns:
|
Date |
Put/
Call |
Ctrcts |
Contract
Price |
Index
Value |
Strike |
VMA |
Amount |
Profit |
| 7/31/02 |
B P1 |
10 |
$23.20 |
909.70 |
850 |
4,375,800 |
$23,200 |
|
|
8/2/02 |
S P1 |
10 |
$36.18 |
962.94 |
850 |
3,304,000 |
$36,180 |
$12,980 |
|
Total: |
+$12,980 |
To see
any of our past best trades, simply select from
the list below.
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
December 30, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
December 19,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
December 10, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 27, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 20,
2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
November 13, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 6,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
November 1, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
October 25,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
September 25, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
September 18, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
September 6,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
August 21
2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
August 14
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
August 7,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
July 31, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
July 24, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
July 17, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
July 10, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
June 26, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
June 14, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
June 12, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
June 5, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
May 31, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
May 29, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
May 22, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
May 17, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
May 15, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
May 8, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
May 3, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
May 1, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
April 28, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
April 22, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
April 3, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
February 25, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
February 8, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
January 30, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
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