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Technical Analysis - NASDAQ 100 & S&P 500

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Market Indicators

Index Last %
NYSE 8481.54 0.19%
NASDAQ 2245.38 -0.27%
AMEX 2161.13 -1.14%
DJI 11288.54 0.65%
DJT 4678.75 0.55%
DJU 515.32 -0.62%
NASDAQ 100 1816.35 0.01%
S&P 100 578.13 0.48%
S&P 400 786.8 -1.09%
S&P 500 1262.9 0.11%
S&P 600 351.95 -0.95%

As of July 3,2008 22:43

@ MarketVolume.com

Best Short-Term Trade:
August
7th, 2002

This week our professional trader decided to take part in some volatility in the market by buying puts even though MarketVolume mentioned this is the beginning of an uptrend. He was able to capitalize on a large amount of volume to the upside of the S&P 500 index which signaled that the market would move lower.

Security Return
Put 1 (SPX Sept) +55.9%

Total Profit:

+$12,980

Even though all the above trades were very conservative, we still came out on top with a profit of $12,980 over a couple of days!

Why buy expensive September Puts?
Even though September Put options are more expensive, they tend to be less volatile in reaction to market swings, and they don't devalue as quickly as a current month option. By trading options that are at least one month ahead, we protect ourselves from unforeseen short-term fluctuations in the market.

Puts were purchased not to go against the trend, which MarketVolume said we were in the beginning of an uptrend, but to simply make a profit off a short-term movement down, as a large amount of volume to the upside signaled a short-term downward move.

We would like to make it clear to our members what the motivation was to make the above trades; therefore, we have created what we Put a 'Table of Motivation', in which we try to make it clear the motivation that was behind each of the above trades.

Trade Motivation MV's Commentary on Members Home Page during the trade
Buy Put 1 This was the second big volume to the upside that we have seen within the week, and due to this the market could move lower in the short-term, perhaps even hit it's support level again. Based on this decided to buy puts even though MarketVolume's Market Commentary states that the market is in the beginning of an uptrend. As the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes rose by several percent today, by mid day volume began to accumulate once again. This volume increase signaled to us that the indexes may fall back a bit, which they did. By the end of the day there was some more supportive volume which may cause the indexes to move higher in the short-term, but there is more of a chance that the volume we saw midday will cause the indexes fall lower still.
Sell Put 1 There was a moderately large amount of supportive volume to the downside today which signaled the market could move higher in the short-term, and due to the fact that the market could be in the beginning to an uptrend, decided that the best thing to do would be to play is safe and close all open put positions at this point. The NASDAQ 100 today has almost reached it's support level, and the S&P 500 declined as well, but is still far from it's support level. There is a chance that the NASDAQ 100, by hitting it's support level and bouncing off, could cause the rest of the indexes to follow and begin to go up again.

 

The same principles mentioned above works for trading NASDAQ 100, S&P 100, Dow Jones, and other indexes.

Here is a detailed list of our investor's trades, which netted the above returns:

Date Put/
Call
Ctrcts Contract
Price
Index
Value
Strike VMA Amount Profit
7/31/02 B P1 10 $23.20 909.70 850 4,375,800 $23,200
8/2/02 S P1 10 $36.18 962.94 850 3,304,000 $36,180 $12,980

Total:

+$12,980

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
December 19, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
December 10, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 27, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 20, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
November 13, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
November 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100
October 25, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 25, 2002 NASDAQ 100
September 18, 2002 S&P 500
September 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 21 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
August 14 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 7, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 31, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 24, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 17, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
July 10, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
June 26, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 14, 2002 S&P 500
June 12, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 5, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 31, 2002 S&P 500
May 29, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 17, 2002 S&P 500
May 15, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 8, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 3, 2002 NASDAQ 100
May 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
April 28, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 3, 2002 S&P 500
February 25, 2002 S&P 500
February 8, 2002 NASDAQ 100
January 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
QQQQ Trading System
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As of 7/3/2008


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7/3/2008 - SV1