Technical Analysis. Nasdaq 100,


Technical Analysis - NASDAQ 100 & S&P 500

Highlight Investments Group 

Home Free Trial Trading History of Real-Time Trades Disclaimer About Us
 
Trades History
All Newsletters
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
FAQ
System
Strategy
Technical
Free Trial
Technical Analysis Forum
 
Information:
  What are Index Shares (ETFs)?
  Why Trade Indexes?
  What is a Trading System?
  What is Market Timing?
  Why is Technical Analysis important for any Trader?
  Technical Analysis Tips.
  Options Trading
  Investing in Options
  The most Liquid Index Options
   
Best Mid-Term Trade:
November
20, 2002

This week we made some good mid-term NASDAQ 100 options trades (QQQQ trading would be very similar) where our professional trader was able to purchase calls based on some strong signals and what we published in our Market Commentary.

NOTE: This chart of the week is meant mainly for educational purposes only. We don't recommend that our customers follow these exact trades. We suggest that you develop your own trading style and try doing some paper trading before using our volume analytics.

Security Return
Call 1 (NDX Jan) +21.1%
Call 2 (NDX Jan) +43.9%
Call 3 (NDX Jan) Holding

Total Profit:

+$15,771

Even though all the above trades were not entirely without risk, we came out on top with a profit of $15,771

Why buy expensive January Calls?
Even though January Call options are more expensive, they tend of to be less volatile in reaction to market swings, and they don't devalue as quickly as a current month option. By trading options that are at least one month ahead, we protect ourselves from unforeseen short-term fluctuations in the market. Also, if the uptrend continues on a long-term, one can hold these options for a longer period as they increase substantially in value.

Can I play short on large VMA spikes?
We don't generally suggest that anyone play short during an uptrend in the market unless you are an experienced short-term trader. Since the market is in an uptrend, VMA spikes to the upside may sometimes have a lesser effect on causing the market to move lower. Therefore, if you do play short, we suggest that you do not overestimate the value of VMA spikes to the upside of an index.

Why did you leave one call option open?
We still have confidence that the market will move higher, and since the market has not shown any signs of reversing its current uptrend, we think it's a good idea to continue on the premise that the market will move higher still.

Should I Trade Options?
Only very experienced traders should trade options because of the high risk. You can always trade index shares instead of options and still make profits; returns will not be as large.

We would like to make it clear to our members what the motivation was to make the above trades; therefore, we have created what we Call a 'Table of Motivation', in which we try to make it clear the motivation that was behind each of the above trades.

Trade Motivation MV's Commentary on Members Home Page during the trade
Buy Call 1 Due to elevated amounts of volume as the index declined, found that this is an excellent point to buy call options. As the market moved higher today there was a moderate amount resistive volume spikes, and due to this volume the market could move lower in the short-term. Keep in mind that the volume levels to the upside were not very large today, and due to this the resistive volume we saw today may have no effect on the market in the short-term, therefore we may see the market continue its uptrend.
Sell Call 1 Volume was increasing steadily at the end of the market the previous day, and due to this it was a good idea to close all open call positions in preparation for the market to move lower. We expect that if the market moved slightly lower we will see more supportive volume that will once again move the market higher. Also, remember that during an uptrend one should not overestimate the value of volume to the upside. Basically we expect the market to continue in its general uptrend in the mid-term.
Buy Call 2 Excellent and clear VMA spikes to the downside were the main motivation in purchasing these calls, as the VMA spikes were large and acted as very clear signals that the market will move higher. During the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 index's last decline we saw a moderately large amount of supportive volume, and this supportive volume may cause the indexes to move higher in the short-term. In the mid-term, we still expect that the market will continue on its uptrend.
Buy Call 3
Sell Call 2 Due to elevated amounts of volume during the entire day, which can be expected on days like this, decided that a safe play would be to close 1/2 of open call positions and to wait and see what the market brings in the next few days. Today the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes moved slightly lower, but in doing so it did not generate much supportive volume. Today there was a moderate amount of resistive volume to the upside as the index moved higher in the afternoon, and this resistive volume caused the market to move lower.

The same principles mentioned above works for trading S&P 500, S&P 100, Dow Jones, and other indexes.

Here is a detailed list of our investor's trades, which netted the above returns:

Date Put/
Call
Ctrcts Contract
Price
Index
Value
Strike VMA Amount Profit
11/15/02 B C1 5 $44.57 1,042.46 1,100 1,807,400 $22,285
11/18/02 S C1 5 $53.95 1,067.93 1,100 1,638,500 $26,975 $4,690
11/19/02 B C2 7 $36.07 1,026.40 1,100 1,471,700 $25,249
11/19/02 B C3 7 $36.44 1,027.28 1,100 1,455,000 $25,508  
11/20/02 S C2 7 $51.90 1,065.80 1,100 1,670,600 $36,330 $11,081

Total:

+$15,771

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
December 19, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
December 10, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 27, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 20, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
November 13, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
November 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100
October 25, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 25, 2002 NASDAQ 100
September 18, 2002 S&P 500
September 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 21 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
August 14 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 7, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 31, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 24, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 17, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
July 10, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
June 26, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 14, 2002 S&P 500
June 12, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 5, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 31, 2002 S&P 500
May 29, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 17, 2002 S&P 500
May 15, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 8, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 3, 2002 NASDAQ 100
May 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
April 28, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 3, 2002 S&P 500
February 25, 2002 S&P 500
February 8, 2002 NASDAQ 100
January 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
QQQQ Trading System
QQQQ, SPY and DIA trading signals for conservative mid- and long-7 term traders ...

QQQ Signals
Past 13 Months

23%

46%

Compound Compound
Margin

As of 02/04/2012


NASDAQ Polling Service
Nasdaq in a month?

Up

The same as now

Down

I don't know

Visit Sites:
Options Trading
Stock Market Sentiment
Financial Glossary
Stock Market
 
RISK STATEMENT: The trading of stocks, futures, commodities, index futures or any other securities has potential rewards, and it also has potential risks involved. Trading may not be suitable for all users of this Website. Analyst research available through this Website does not constitute a recommendation or a solicitation any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular securities. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance. You absolutely must make your own decisions before acting on any information obtained from this Website.
 

Products ||| Advertise with us ||| Site Map ||| Options Trading
Links ||| Technical Analysis  ||| Trading Systems ||| Economic Calendar ||| Technical Analysis ||| Research ||| Media ||| Quote & News ||| Exchanges ||| Brokerage Houses


Trading System ||| Mutual Fund ||| Market Timing
Options Trading ||| SPY Options

Disclaimer | Privacy
© 1997-2012 Highlight Investments Group. All Rights Reserved.

02/04/2012 - SV1n