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Market Indicators

Index Last %
NYSE 8481.54 0.19%
NASDAQ 2245.38 -0.27%
AMEX 2161.13 -1.14%
DJI 11288.54 0.65%
DJT 4678.75 0.55%
DJU 515.32 -0.62%
NASDAQ 100 1816.35 0.01%
S&P 100 578.13 0.48%
S&P 400 786.8 -1.09%
S&P 500 1262.9 0.11%
S&P 600 351.95 -0.95%

As of July 3,2008 22:33

@ MarketVolume.com

Best Mid-Term Trade:
January 2
9, 2003

For the last week, we made some good short-term S&P 500 options trades  in which our professional trader was able to purchase puts based on strong volume signals and our  published Market Commentary.

NOTE: This chart of the week is meant mainly for educational purposes only. We don't recommend that our customers follow these exact trades. We suggest that you develop your own trading style and try doing some paper trading before using our volume analytics.

Security Return
Put 1 (SPX April) +41.0%
Put 2 (SPX April) Holding
Put 3 (SPX April) Holding

Total Profit:

+$7,680

Even though all the above trades were not entirely without risk, we came out on top with a profit of $7,680

Should I Trade Options?
Only very experienced traders should trade options because of the high risk. You can always trade index shares instead of options and still make profits; returns will not be as large.

Why did you open two more positions right after a very positive State of the Union address?
Because MarketVolume, in its Market Commentary, still believes that the market is in a downtrend and will soon continue on that trend. There were two significant resistive VMA spikes to the upside as well, and these spikes also aided in the decision to open two more positions. Even if the market moves higher in the short-term, we purchased options that don't expire for three months, thereby reducing our risk.

Why didn't you sell PUT 1 on the first VMA spike to the downside?
We decided not to sell because we didn't believe that that volume spike was enough to counter the many cumulative resistive VMA spikes we had previously seen. At best, that VMA spike could have caused a short-term move up, but not for more than a day. We sold on the second VMA spike because, added with the previous spike, it could cause the market to move higher in the short-term.

I trade the NASDAQ 100 / QQQQ. How does this apply to me?
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes have generally the same behavior. If you overlaid a chart of each of them during a short period such as this one, their general dynamic would be the same. Because of this, you can trade NASDAQ 100 index shares and options. You can probably make more money doing so because the NASDAQ 100 is more volatile.

Should I try to paper trade before trading options?
Yes! We suggest that anyone who is new to our signals and analysis try doing some paper trading to start, at least until they are comfortable with interpreting our signals.

Why buy puts that are so far 'out of the money'?
The reason we decided to go with April SPX puts with a strike of 725 is simply because those happened to be the most liquid (easy to buy and sell quickly at a reasonable price) put options available for March.

We would like to make it clear to our members what the motivations were that lead to the above trades; therefore, we have created what we Call a 'Table of Motivation', in which we try to make it clear the motivation that was behind each of the above trades.

Trade Motivation MV's Commentary on Members Home Page during the trade
Buy Put 1 Because of the moderately large amount of resistive volume, and the lack of much supportive volume, and MarketVolume's Market Commentary, this was an excellent point to enter the market with a put option. as the market moved higher, an increasing amount of resistive volume to the upside was generated. At midday, the market moved lower in response to the large VMA spike that had been building up throughout the morning. There was very little supportive volume throughout the day today.
Sell Put 1 At this point the market had already declined a substantial amount and there was a good chance that the moderate amount of supportive volume at the bottom could cause the market to move higher. MarketVolume's Market Commentary also mentioned that if there was enough supportive volume the market would move higher. Sold all open positions and will purchase more if the market moves higher and generates a good signal. Today as the market moved lower, there was a moderate amount of supportive volume that may cause the market to move higher in the short-term, but our mid-term outlook remains the same; the market is in a downtrend. Please keep in mind that before the general trend changes, we will need to see more supportive volume than we have been seeing.
Buy Put 2 As the market moved higher there was a large resistive VMA spike to the upside that signaled the market should move lower soon. This is a good signal to enter into another put option position. Today there was a small amount of resistive volume and very little supportive volume during the day. Because of this, the market may continue moving higher in response to the cumulative effects of supportive VMA spikes...
Buy Put 3 Since the market did not move lower in response to the last VMA spike, and there was a new resistive VMA spike to the upside, found that this was another good pint to purchase more puts and average down the price.

The same principles mentioned above works for trading NASDAQ 100, S&P 100, Dow Jones, and other indexes.

Here is a detailed list of our investor's trades, which netted the above returns:

Date Put/
Call
Ctrcts Contract
Price
Index
Value
Strike VMA Amount Profit
1/23/03 B P1 20 $9.36 885.25 725 3,414,300 $18,720
1/27/03 S P1 20 $13.20 849.16 725 3,341,400 $26,400  
1/29/03 B P2 20 $11.32 860.29 725 3,890,700 $22,640
1/29/03 B P3 20 $10.36 867.65 725 2,756,100 $20,720 $7,680

Total:

+$7,680

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 21, 2003 QQQQ Options
December 14, 2003 QQQQ Options
December 7, 2003 QQQQ Options
November 30, 2003 QQQQ Options
November 23, 2003 QQQQ Options
November 9, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 31, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 24, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 17, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 10, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
October 3, 2003 QQQQ Options
September 25, 2003 QQQQ Options
September 16, 2003 QQQQ Options
September 11, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 5, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 27, 2003 QQQQ Options
August 15, 2003 QQQQ Options
August 4, 2003 QQQQ Options
July 28, 2003 NASDAQ 100
July 25, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 12, 2003 NASDAQ 100
July 2, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
June 27, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
March 28, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
March 11, 2003 NASDAQ 100
March 4, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
February 12, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
February 4, 2003 S&P 500
January 29, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
January 24, 2003 S&P 500
January 22, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
December 19, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
December 10, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 27, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 20, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
November 13, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
November 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100
October 25, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 25, 2002 NASDAQ 100
September 18, 2002 S&P 500
September 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 21 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
August 14 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 7, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 31, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 24, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 17, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
July 10, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
June 26, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 14, 2002 S&P 500
June 12, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 5, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 31, 2002 S&P 500
May 29, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 17, 2002 S&P 500
May 15, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 8, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 3, 2002 NASDAQ 100
May 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
April 28, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 3, 2002 S&P 500
February 25, 2002 S&P 500
February 8, 2002 NASDAQ 100
January 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
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As of 7/3/2008


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7/3/2008 - SV1