Technical Analysis.


Technical Analysis - NASDAQ 100 & S&P 500

Highlight Investments Group 

Home Free Trial Trading History of Real-Time Trades Disclaimer About Us
 
Trades History
All Newsletters
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
FAQ
System
Strategy
Technical
Free Trial
 
Information:
  What are Index Shares (ETFs)?
  Why Trade Indexes?
  What is a Trading System?
  What is Market Timing?
  Why is Technical Analysis important for any Trader?
  Technical Analysis Tips.
  Options Trading
  Investing in Options
  The most Liquid Index Options
   
Best Short-Term Trade
August 4th, 2003

Our mid-term index options trader traded QQQQ options for this best trade of the week, but one could have traded NASDAQ 100 index shares or options using the same method. These trades were based strong volume signals and our Market Commentary.

NOTE: This chart of the week is meant mainly for educational purposes. We don't recommend that our customers follow these exact trades. We suggest that you develop your own trading style and try doing some paper trading before using our volume analytics.

Security Return
Put #1 (QQQQ October) +12.2%
Put #2 (QQQQ October) +26.3%
Put #3 (QQQQ October) Holding

Total Profit:

+$1,770

Even though all the above trades were not entirely without risk, we came out on top with a profit of $1,770

How can this chart be used by me?
Our main reason for publishing these charts is to allow our members to learn by another trader's example how they can make trades based on our volume signals and Market Commentary. Members can gain a better understanding of how to enter and exit the market, based on when a signal is generated. To learn from these charts, you don't need to trade the specific security mentioned in this publication, but whatever security you feel comfortable with. The principles for trading QQQQ options will not change when trading something like NASDAQ 100 index options, futures or QQQQ shares.

Should I Trade Options?
Only very experienced traders should trade options because of the high risk involved. You can always trade index shares instead of options and still make a decent profit, but returns will not be as large.

Should I try to paper trade before trading options?
Yes! We suggest that anyone who is new to our signals and analysis try doing some paper trading to start, at least until they are comfortable with interpreting our signals.

I trade S&P 500 / SPDRs. How does this apply to me?
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes have generally the same behavior. If you overlaid a chart of each of them during a short period such as this one, their general dynamic would be the same. Because of this, you can trade S&P 500 index shares, and options.

Why did you trade against the current mid-term trend?
Our trader decided to take advantage of short-term movements in the market. This by no means invalidates the fact that the prevailing trend was up. When the market is in an uptrend, there are always points where excellent sell signals are generated; therefore, our trader decided to take advantage of these signals. Also, MarketVolume's Market Stage mentions that the market is in a resistance corridor, which means that the market will be volatile, excellent for short-term trading. Generally we don't recommend trading against the current trend unless you are a very skilled trader.

Why did you leave one put option open?
We have confidence that the market will move lower in the short-term due to the resistive volume seen at the end of Monday.

What is a 'VMA spike to the upside'?
Simply put, that means that most of the volume spike was connected with the index while it was moving up.

We would like to  the motivations that led to the above trades as clear as possible; therefore, we have created what we call a 'Table of Motivation', in which we try to make the purpose behind each of the above trades as clear as possible.

Trade Motivation MV's Commentary on Members Home Page during the trade
Buy QQQQ Put #1 MarketVolume's Market Commentary was right on the money when it said that the market would move down and collect more supportive volume before moving up. The reasoning behind this trade was because, as the market moved up, there was a large resistive VMA spike to the upside, which signaled that there was a good chance for the market to move lower in the short-term. Overall, there was more supportive volume than resistive volume today, which makes us believe that the market could move higher in the short-term. Keep in mind that the resistive volume from Friday may still cause the market to move lower in the short-term, but if it does, we believe that supportive volume will move the market higher shortly thereafter. Our mid-term outlook still remains for the market to continue moving higher.
Buy QQQQ Put #2 MarketVolume's Market Commentary stated that there would be a good chance for the market to move higher in the short-term, which had us almost ready to sell our put positions with a loss, but as the market moved higher there was a very large resistive VMA spike to the upside. This large resistive VMA spike signaled that there was a good chance for the market to move lower again. Because of this we purchases more QQQQ puts in order to average down our overall price and hopefully sell with a good profit. Overall, there was slightly more supportive volume than resistive volume today, which when combined with yesterday's supportive VMA spike at the end of the day should help move the market higher in the short-term. To date we have not seen enough resistive volume to change our mid-term outlook for the market; our analysis still shows that the market will move higher in the mid-term.
Sell QQQQ Put #1 The market did move down on Friday, but there was very little supportive volume and some resistive volume. Because of this we didn't sell on Friday. Friday's MarketVolume Market Commentary also mentioned that the market will move lower in the short-term in order to pick up more supportive volume. We decided to capitalize on this and ended up selling all open QQQQ put options as the market declined Monday morning. A moderate resistive VMA spike to the upside occurred at 13:15 as the market moved higher and caused the market to pull back to its lows of the day. Overall, today's volume was fairly light and we could see the market move slightly lower in the short-term in order for it to pick up more supportive volume. Otherwise, our mid-term outlook still remains positive.
Sell QQQQ Put #2
Buy QQQQ Put #3 As MarketVolume predicted, there was supportive volume as the market declined in the morning, but as the market moved higher there were several large resistive VMA spikes to the upside. We didn't buy more puts on the first spike as it was about the same size as the VMA spike that caused the market to move higher, but the second VMA spike to the upside was quite large and was an excellent signal to but more short-term QQQQ put options.

The same principles mentioned above works for trading NASDAQ 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones, as well as other indexes.

Here is a detailed list of our investor's trades, which netted the above returns:

Date Put/
Call
Ctrcts Contract
Price
Index
Value
QQQQ
Value
Strike VMA Amount Profit
07/29/03 B P1 40 $1.07 1,275.65 $31.71 28 1,438,100 $4,280  
07/31/03 B P2 50 $0.95 1,293.56 $32.17 28 1,482,700 $4,750  
08/04/03 S P1 40 $1.20 1,244.52 $30.94 28 1,007,200 $4,800 $520
08/04/03 S P2 50 $1.20 1,244.52 $30.94 28 1,007,200 $6,000 $1,250
08/04/03 B P3 65 $2.05 1,272.95 $31.66 32 1,362,400 $13,325  

Total:

+$1,770

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 21, 2003 QQQQ Options
December 14, 2003 QQQQ Options
December 7, 2003 QQQQ Options
November 30, 2003 QQQQ Options
November 23, 2003 QQQQ Options
November 9, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 31, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 24, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 17, 2003 QQQQ Options
October 10, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
October 3, 2003 QQQQ Options
September 25, 2003 QQQQ Options
September 16, 2003 QQQQ Options
September 11, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 5, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 27, 2003 QQQQ Options
August 15, 2003 QQQQ Options
August 4, 2003 QQQQ Options
July 28, 2003 NASDAQ 100
July 25, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 12, 2003 NASDAQ 100
July 2, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
June 27, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
March 28, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
March 11, 2003 NASDAQ 100
March 4, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
February 12, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
February 4, 2003 S&P 500
January 29, 2003 S&P 500 (SPX)
January 24, 2003 S&P 500
January 22, 2003 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
December 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
December 19, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
December 10, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 27, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 20, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
November 13, 2002 NASDAQ 100
November 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
November 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100
October 25, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
September 25, 2002 NASDAQ 100
September 18, 2002 S&P 500
September 6, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 21 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
August 14 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
August 7, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
July 31, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 24, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
July 17, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
July 10, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
June 26, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 14, 2002 S&P 500
June 12, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
June 5, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 31, 2002 S&P 500
May 29, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 17, 2002 S&P 500
May 15, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
May 8, 2002 S&P 500 (SPX)
May 3, 2002 NASDAQ 100
May 1, 2002 NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ)
April 28, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 22, 2002 NASDAQ 100
April 3, 2002 S&P 500
February 25, 2002 S&P 500
February 8, 2002 NASDAQ 100
January 30, 2002 NASDAQ 100
QQQQ Trading System
QQQQ, SPY and DIA trading signals for conservative mid- and long-7 term traders ...

QQQQ Signals
Past 12 Months

19%

39%

Compound Compound
Margin

As of 1/5/2009


NASDAQ Polling Service

 Nasdaq in a month?

Up more than 5% 
Stay the Same 
Down more than 5% 
I don`t know 

Visit Sites:
Options Trading
Stock Market Sentiment
Financial Glossary
Stock Market
 
RISK STATEMENT: The trading of stocks, futures, commodities, index futures or any other securities has potential rewards, and it also has potential risks involved. Trading may not be suitable for all users of this Website. Analyst research available through this Website does not constitute a recommendation or a solicitation any particular investor should purchase or sell any particular securities. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance. You absolutely must make your own decisions before acting on any information obtained from this Website.
 

Products ||| Advertise with us ||| Site Map
Links ||| Technical Analysis  ||| Trading Systems ||| Research ||| Media ||| Quote & News ||| Exchanges ||| Brokerage Houses


Trading System ||| Mutual Fund ||| Market Timing
Options Trading ||| SPY Options

Disclaimer | Privacy
© 1997-2009 Highlight Investments Group. All Rights Reserved.

1/6/2009 - SV1