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Chart of the Week: QQQQ Options for
October 3, 2003
Our short-term trader has made some trades based on our advice and analysis, he was able to make two
promising trades that could lead to a tidy profit.
NOTE: This chart of the week is mainly intended for
educational purposes. We don't recommend that our customers follow these
exact trades. We suggest that you develop your own trading style and try doing
some paper trading before using our volume analytics.
|
Security |
Return |
| Call #1 (QQQQ November) |
+47.4% |
| Call #2 (QQQQ November) |
+27.3% |
|
Total Profit:
|
+$7,500 |
The past week has been an excellent time for anyone who pays
attention to our Market Commentary, as we have been predicting that the market
would begin to move higher shortly. The week began on a negative note, despite
the previous week's supportive VMA spikes to the downside, but as the market
declined early in the week, it generated more supportive volume to the downside.
When the market reacted to these supportive VMA spikes to the downside, it also
generated resistive volume to the upside, but these resistive VMA spikes were
not as large - in comparison - to the supportive VMA spikes seen prior to them.
Because of this, the supportive volume won out and caused the market to move in
a general uptrend for the week. The biggest surprise was on Friday where a
combination of good employment news and supportive volume from the previous day
helped move the market substantially higher.
This chart is an excellent example of how short-term
options traders can use MarketVolume's volume charts to make several successful
trades during a single week.

Motivations behind Trades: As the week began, it
encountered some resistive volume to the upside, which moved the market lower on
Tuesday. We decided to purchase QQQQ calls on Tuesday morning because of the
large supportive VMA spike seen that morning and the fact that MarketVolume's
Market Commentary stated that the market had yet to react to the large
supportive VMA spike seen the previous week. As a result, there was a good
chance that the market would move higher in the mid-term, that is, within a
week. The market did in fact move higher after our first trade, but on Thursday
it did decline a bit in the late morning and in doing so it generate a
moderately large supportive VMA spike to the downside. We decided to purchase
more QQQQ calls on this supportive volume in order to take advantage of the
result. On Friday we got a surprise as better than expected employment report
came out and helped move the market significantly higher. Because there was a
large amount of resistive volume to the upside during the market's move up, we
decided to close all our open call positions in order to play it safe.
How do we know that your trades are based on volume
analysis and MarketVolume's Market Commentaries?
All of our trades are based on the results of volume analysis and
MarketVolume's published Market Commentaries. Anyone can verify this by logging
into MarketVolume.com and browsing through our archive of Market Commentaries.
In doing so, we are confident that you will find a better than 85% accuracy rate
in predicting short and mid-term trends, as we did this week.
How can this chart be used by me?
Our main reason for publishing these charts is to allow our members to learn
by another trader's example how they can make trades based on our volume signals and Market Commentary.
Members can gain a better understanding of how to enter and exit the market,
based on when a signal is generated. To learn from these charts, you don't need to
trade the specific security mentioned in this publication, but whatever security
you feel comfortable with. The principles for trading NASDAQ 100 index options will not change
when trading something like S&P 500 futures.
Should I try to paper trade before trading options?
Yes! We suggest that anyone who is new to our signals and analysis try doing
some paper trading to start, at least until they are comfortable with
interpreting our signals.
I trade the S&P 500 / SPDRs. How does this apply to me?
The S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 indexes have generally the same behavior. If you
overlaid a chart of each of them during a short period such as this one, their
general dynamic would be the same. Because of this, you can trade S&P 500 index
shares, and options.
Why did you trade QQQQ options?
Generally we trade options, and in this case QQQQ (NASDAQ 100 index shares) options because
they offer a high return, but are less risky than futures for the NASDAQ 100 index.
One can trade NASDAQ 100 index futures, QQQQ stocks, QQQQ options (as we did), or
even NASDAQ 100 options on futures. There is a wide array of trading vehicles that are
tied to the NASDAQ 100 index, and it's mostly up to the individual trader as to
which is preferred to trade.
Conclusion: Overall, volume analysis
combined with MarketVolume's Market Commentaries made for some excellent trades
this week. The Market Commentaries did state that the market could move lower on
Friday in order to generate more supportive volume, but we kept our position
open because if the market did move lower it would have been a good point to
enter into more QQQQ call positions. During the week, the Market Commentaries
always called for the market to move higher in the mid-term and that is what
kept us confident with our current position, despite short-term fluctuations.
The same principles mentioned above work for trading
S&P 500, S&P 100, Dow Jones, and other indexes.
Here is a detailed list of our investor's trades, which netted
the above returns:
|
Date |
Put/
Call |
Ctrcts |
Contract
Price |
Index
Value |
QQQQ
Value |
Strike |
VMA |
Amount |
Profit |
| 09/29/03 |
B C1 |
100 |
$0.95 |
1,308.28 |
$32.64 |
34 |
1398800 |
$9,500 |
|
|
10/02/03 |
B C2 |
100 |
$1.10 |
1,328.03 |
$33.02 |
34 |
1355300 |
$11,000 |
|
| 10/03/03 |
S C1 |
100 |
$1.40 |
1,375.03 |
$34.15 |
34 |
1365000 |
$14,000 |
$4,500 |
|
10/03/03 |
S C2 |
100 |
$1.40 |
1,375.03 |
$34.15 |
34 |
1365000 |
$14,000 |
$3,000 |
|
Total: |
+$7,500 |
To see
any of our past best trades, simply select from
the list below.
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
December 21, 2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
December 14,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
December 7,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
November 30,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
November 23,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
November 9, 2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
October 31,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
October 24,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
October 17,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
October 10,
2003 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
October 3, 2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 25,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 16, 2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 11,
2003 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
September 5,
2003 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
August 27, 2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 15,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 4,
2003 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 28, 2003 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
July 25, 2003 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
July 12, 2003 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
July 2, 2003 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
June 27, 2003 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
March 28,
2003 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
March 11,
2003 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
March 4, 2003 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
February 12,
2003 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
February 4,
2003 |
S&P 500 |
|
January 29,
2003 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
January 24, 2003 |
S&P 500 |
|
January 22,
2003 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
To see
any of our past best trades, simply select from
the list below.
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
December 30, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
December 19,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
December 10, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 27, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 20,
2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
November 13, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
November 6,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
November 1, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
October 25,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
September 25, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
September 18, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
September 6,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
August 21
2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
August 14
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
August 7,
2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
July 31, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
July 24, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(NDX) |
|
July 17, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
July 10, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
June 26, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
June 14, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
June 12, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
June 5, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
May 31, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
May 29, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
May 22, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
May 17, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
May 15, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
May 8, 2002 |
S&P 500 (SPX) |
|
May 3, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
May 1, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100
(QQQQ) |
|
April 28, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
April 22, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
April 3, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
February 25, 2002 |
S&P 500 |
|
February 8, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
January 30, 2002 |
NASDAQ 100 |
|
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