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NYSE 9603.01 0.52%
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As of May 17,2008 02:56

@ MarketVolume.com

Best Short-Term Trade
May 16th, 2004

This "Trade of the week" was based on our volume indicators.

This week's “best trade of the week”
is a continuation of the previous week’s best trade,
where we left a QQQQ Call position open.

This trade was closed with 18% of profit.

Security Return
Call #1 (QQQQ July) +18.52%
Call #2 (QQQQ July) +18.52%

Total Profit:

+$2,500
 

Nasdaq 100 Indicator
Nasdaq 100 stock chart

Even though the trades shown above were not entirely without risk, they resulted in a profit of $2,500

Notes:

When do you normally close a particular “Best Trade of the Week”?
Under normal circumstances, we exit from a trade when we see a clear, unambiguous volume signal. The actual signal we look for must not necessarily be as pronounced as the one that got us into the trade. In order to play it safe, we sometimes even terminate a trade in the absence of a volume signal - for instance when we are up by 20 - 30%, or in the presence of certain market affecting factors , such as news on geopolitical events, Fed announcements, options expiration, and others. In other words, there are certain situations where we may ignore our volume indicators. It is our belief that in options trading, it is often better to take a quick profit rather than overstaying and putting the entire investment at risk.

In last week’s “Best Trade of the Week”, you left a trade open. Why was this not the case this week?
This week, we did not receive a strong volume signal that would have prompted us to leave a trade open. We would like to remind you that options trading is very risky. We believe it's often better to make fewer trades; also, we initiate trades only in the presence of strong, unambiguous signals.

In the following, we would like to show you the motivating factors that led us to take above trades. For this purpose, we have created what we call a 'Table of Trade Motivators':
 
Trade Volume Motivation
Buy Call #1
05/12/2004
Was left opened

last week
After initially opening lower, the market began to quickly move lower, generating increasing amounts of supportive volume to the downside in the process. By 11:15, the market encountered a large supportive VMA spike to the downside, but the result of this initial supportive volume spike was to only slow the market's decline. As such, the market continued to move lower until approximately 12:15 where the market generated even more supportive volume to the downside.
Buy Call #2
05/12/2004
Was left opened

last week
The market continued its decline until it ran into another very large supportive VMA spike to the downside at 14:00.
Sell Calls #1,2
05/14/2004
By 13:00, we noted a large resistive VMA spike to the upside; while it did not cause an immediate reversal, it slowed the ongoing advance. At 14:15, the market generated another moderately resistive VMA spike to the upside. (The upcoming options expiration on Friday, May 21 will likely bring more volatility.)

These are the trades which netted the returns shown above:


Date
Trade Strike Expiration Contracts Contract
Price
Amount Profit
05/12/2004 Buy Call #1 $35 July 50 $1.35 -$6750  
05/14/2004 Sell Call #1 $35 July 50 $1.6 +$8000 +$1,250
05/12/2004 Buy Call #2 $35 July 50 $1.35 -$6750  
05/14/2004 Sell Call #2 $35 July 50 $1.6 +$8000 +$1,250

Total:

+$2,500
(+18.5%)

To see any of our past best trades, simply select from the list below.

Date Indicator
September 25, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 10, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 9, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 7, 2004 QQQQ Options
September 2, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 31, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 19, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 15, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 5, 2004 QQQQ Options
August 3, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 31 2004 QQQQ Options
July 21, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 14, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 13, 2004 QQQQ Options
July 1, 2004 QQQQ Options
June 23, 2004 QQQQ Options
June 20, 2004 QQQQ Options
June 6, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 30, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 25, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 20, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 16, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 12, 2004 QQQQ Options
May 09, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 29, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 22, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 10, 2004 QQQQ Options
April 6, 2004 S&P 500 Options
March 28, 2004 QQQQ Options
March 14, 2004 QQQQ Options
March 7, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 29, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 22, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 15, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 8, 2004 QQQQ Options
February 1, 2004 QQQQ Options
January 25, 2004 QQQQ Options
January 18, 2004 QQQQ Options
January 12, 2004 QQQQ Options
QQQQ Trading System
QQQQ, SPY and DIA trading signals for conservative mid- and long-7 term traders ...

QQQQ Signals
Past 3 Months

1%

0%

Compound Compound
Margin

As of 5/16/2008


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5/16/2008 - SV1