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Best Short-Term Trade
July 13th, 2004
This "Short-Term Trade" was based on our volume indicators.
NOTE: We discuss our “best trades” here mainly for educational
purposes. The trading examples we illustrate are based principally on our
volume indicators and market commentaries. Our main intent is to show you
how you can apply our volume indicators and to explain the specific correlations
that exist between volume spikes and the movement of the indexes. We do not mean
to imply that you should follow our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest
that you may make use of our volume analytics to develop your own trading style.
We also urge you to paper trade before committing your money to the markets.
For this “best trade”,
"Buy QQQQ Call #1" are opened
in order to close it later with profit if the
index moves in our favor.
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NASDAQ 100 Indicator
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Why did you initiate a trade only on the recent volume spike, when there
was already a previous spike, which seemed just as important?
To answer this question, we invite you to access our historical charts
and scroll back. You will see that the price does not always react
immediately to the appearance of a significant volume spike. Rather, you
will find quite frequently that are time lags between price reactions and
volume spikes. Price reversals often occur only on the second or even third
volume spike, and the volume surges at this stage may not necessarily be as
pronounced as they were on the first spike.
When you trade options, it can be safer to ignore the first volume signal
and enter the market on a later signal. In the current situation, we ignored
the first volume signal, because we anticipated that a later occurring
signal would provide us with a better entry point. That is exactly what
happened. It is for this reason that we promote our historical charts; they
can provide valuable information (i.e., context) for the analysis of a
particular market situation.
In the following, we would like to show you the
motivating factors that led us to take above trades. For this purpose, we have
created what we call a 'Table of Trade Motivators':
|
Trade |
Volume Motivation |
Buy Call #1
07/13/2004
Left Opened |
As the
market declined again, it produced a large supportive VMA spike to the
downside, which came to a peak by approximately 13:30. This large
supportive VMA spike to the downside was enough to halt the market's
decline. As the market progressed throughout the remainder of the day,
it encountered relatively little resistive volume at all. In fact, the
majority of the volume throughout the day turned out to be supportive
volume to the downside. |
Date |
Trade |
Strike |
Expiration |
Contracts |
Contract
Price |
Amount |
Profit |
| 07/13/2004 |
Buy Call #1 |
$35 |
September (QQQQII) |
75 |
$1.75 |
-$13125 |
|
|
Total: |
0 |
For this week’s “trade of the week”,
"Buy QQQQ Call #1" are opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor.
To see
any of our past best trades, simply select from
the list below.
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
September 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 10, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 9, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 2, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 31, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 19, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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August 15, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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August 5, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 3, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 31 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 21, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 14, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 13, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 1, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
June 23, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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June 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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June 6, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 30, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 16, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 12, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 09, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 10,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 6, 2004 |
S&P 500
Options |
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March 28,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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March 14,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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March 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 15,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 8,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 1,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 25,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 12,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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