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Best Short-Term Trade
July 21st, 2004
This “best Short-term trade”
is a continuation of the
previous best trade,
where we left a QQQQ Call position open.
NOTE: We discuss our “best trades” here mainly for educational
purposes. The trading examples we illustrate are based principally on our
volume indicators and market commentaries. Our main intent is to show you
how you can apply our volume indicators and to explain the specific correlations
that exist between volume spikes and the movement of the indexes. We do not mean
to imply that you should follow our exact trades, but rather wish to suggest
that you may make use of our volume analytics to develop your own trading style.
We also urge you to paper trade before committing your money to the markets.
For this “best trade”,
"Buy QQQQ Call #3" are opened
in order to close it later with profit if the
index moves in our favor.
|
Security |
Return |
| Call #1 (QQQQ September
- QQQQII) |
0.00% |
| Call #2 (QQQQ September
- QQQQII) |
+6.06% |
|
Total Profit: |
+$750 |
|
NASDAQ 100 Indicator
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If one of your trades has not yet been terminated (by the time you report
it as a “Best Trade), should I try to follow it?
Our "Best Trade" feature is designed primarily to teach you how to use
our volume indicators. We do not wish to suggest that you should mimic these
actual trades, even if they are still open. Only follow an open trade if you
are aware of the risks and if you have access to real-time intraday volume
charts (you can get these from
www.MarketVolume.com). Whether or not we leave a particular “Best Trade”
open is always contingent on our volume indicators. For logistical reasons,
we cannot always send our newsletters out the same day we close a specific
trade. Even if we could, it would often be too late for you to establish a
position, since the market can reverse with very little or no notice
following a significant volume signal. For these reasons, we strongly advise
you against following an open position on our “Best Trade” feature. Should
you wish to do so regardless, please assure that you have access to
real-time intraday volume charts.
In the following, we would like to show you the
motivating factors that led us to take above trades. For this purpose, we have
created what we call a 'Table of Trade Motivators':
|
Trade |
Volume Motivation |
Buy Call #1
07/13/2004
Was left opened
in previous
"Best Trade" |
As the
market declined again, it produced a large supportive VMA spike to the
downside, which came to a peak by approximately 13:30. This large
supportive VMA spike to the downside was enough to halt the market's
decline. As the market progressed throughout the remainder of the day,
it encountered relatively little resistive volume at all. In fact, the
majority of the volume throughout the day turned out to be supportive
volume to the downside. |
Buy Call #2
07/14/2004
Was left opened
in previous
"Best Trade" |
During the
afternoon market's decline, it encountered some supportive volume to the
downside at 12:00, but this only caused a short-term reprieve in the
market's descent, as the market continued to move lower shortly
afterwards. However, by 13:30, the market produced a very large
supportive VMA spike to the downside, which was actually larger than any
of the VMA spikes we have seen in over a week. However, despite the size
of this supportive VMA spike to the downside, the market only moved
higher for a short period and began to move lower shortly after 14:15.
As such, the market continued its decline for the remainder of the
afternoon, but in doing so it also generated further supportive volume
to the downside shortly before closing. |
Sell Call #1, 2
07/21/2004
|
Initially
the market gapped a fair bit higher today, but in doing so it also
produced a moderately large resistive VMA spike to the upside, which
caused the market to immediately begin moving lower when combined with
the resistive VMA spike seen yesterday afternoon. |
Buy Call #3
07/21/2004
Left Opened |
The market's
descent continued until about 14:00 where it generated a substantially
large supportive VMA spike to the downside. During the market's final
decline it encountered another large supportive VMA spike to the
downside at 15:15, but this time it only helped slow the market's
decline slightly as it simply continued to move lower throughout the
remainder of the afternoon. |
These are the trades which netted
the returns shown above:
Date |
Trade |
Strike |
Expiration |
Contracts |
Contract
Price |
Amount |
Profit |
| 07/13/2004 |
Buy Call #1 |
$35 |
September - QQQQII |
75 |
$1.75 |
-$13125 |
|
|
07/21/2004 |
Sell Call #1 |
$35 |
September - QQQQII |
75 |
$1.75 |
+$13125 |
$0 |
| 07/14/2004 |
Buy Call #2 |
$35 |
September - QQQQII |
75 |
$1.65 |
-$12375 |
|
|
07/21/2004 |
Sell Call #2 |
$35 |
September - QQQQII |
75 |
$1.75 |
+$13125 |
+$750 |
| 07/21/2004 |
Buy Call #3 |
$34 |
September - QAVIH |
75 |
$1.7 |
-$12750 |
|
|
Total: |
750 |
For this week’s “trade of the week”,
"Buy QQQQ Call #3" are opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our favor.
To see
any of our past best trades, simply select from
the list below.
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
September 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 10, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 9, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 2, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 31, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 19, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 15, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 5, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 3, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 31 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 21, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 14, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 13, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 1, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
June 23, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
June 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
June 6, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 30, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 16, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 12, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 09, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 10,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 6, 2004 |
S&P 500
Options |
|
March 28,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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March 14,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
March 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 15,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 8,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 1,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 25,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 12,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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