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Best Short-Term Trade
July 31st, 2004
This
“best Short-term trade”
is a continuation of the
previous best trade,
where we left a QQQQ Call position open.
This
trade was closed with
8.8%
of profit.
NOTE: We discuss our “best trades”
here mainly for educational purposes. The
trading examples we illustrate are based
principally on our volume indicators and market
commentaries. Our main intent is to show you
how you can apply our volume indicators and to
explain the specific correlations that exist
between volume spikes and the movement of the
indexes. We do not mean to imply that you should
follow our exact trades, but rather wish to
suggest that you may make use of our volume
analytics to develop your own trading style. We
also urge you to paper trade before committing
your money to the markets.
|
Security |
Return |
|
Call #3 (QQQQ
September - QAVIH) |
+8.82% |
|
Total Profit: |
+$1,125 |
|
NASDAQ 100
Indicator
NASDAQ 100 Advance-Decline Line
|
When do you normally close a particular
“Best Trade”?
Under normal circumstances, we exit from
a trade when we see a clear, unambiguous
volume signal. The actual signal we look for
must not necessarily be as pronounced as the
one that got us into the trade. In order
to play it safe, we sometimes even terminate
a trade in the absence of a volume signal
- for instance when we are up by 20 - 30%,
or in the presence of certain market
affecting factors, such as news on
geopolitical events, Fed announcements,
options expiration, and others. In other
words, there are certain situations where we
may ignore our volume indicators. It is our
belief that in options trading, it is often
better to take a quick profit rather than
overstaying and putting the entire
investment at risk.
Even though the trades shown above were not entirely without
risk, they resulted in a profit of $1,125
In the following,
we would like to show you the motivating factors
that led us to take above trades. For this
purpose, we have created what we call a
'Table of Trade Motivators':
|
Trade |
Volume
Motivation |
Buy Call #3
07/21/2004
Was left opened
in previous
"Best Trade" |
The
market's descent continued until about
14:00 where it generated a substantially
large supportive VMA spike to the
downside. During the market's final
decline it encountered another large
supportive VMA spike to the downside at
15:15, but this time it only helped slow
the market's decline slightly as it
simply continued to move lower
throughout the remainder of the
afternoon. |
Sell Call #3
07/30/2004
|
By 10:00,
the market started to move higher. In
doing so, it generated some resistive
volume to the upside. As the market
moved up, it produced a moderate amount
of resistive volume to the upside, which
peaked at approximately 11:00. Based on
the fact that the trade was opened a
week ago we decided to play safe and
sell open QQQQ calls. |
These are the
trades which netted the returns shown above:
Date |
Trade |
Strike |
Expiration |
Contracts |
Contract
Price |
Amount |
Profit |
|
07/21/2004 |
Buy Call #3 |
$34 |
September - QAVIH |
75 |
$1.7 |
-$12750 |
|
|
07/30/2004 |
Sell Call #3 |
$34 |
September - QAVIH |
75 |
$1.85 |
+$13875 |
+$1,125 |
|
Total: |
1,125 |
To see
any of our past best trades, simply select from
the list below.
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
September 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 10, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 9, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
September 2, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 31, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 19, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 15, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 5, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 3, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 31 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 21, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 14, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 13, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
July 1, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
June 23, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
June 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
June 6, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 30, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 16, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 12, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
May 09, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 10,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
April 6, 2004 |
S&P 500
Options |
|
March 28,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
March 14,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
March 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 15,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 8,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
February 1,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
January 25,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
January 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
January 12,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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