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Best Short-Term Trade
August 3rd, 2004
NOTE: We discuss our “best trades” here mainly for educational
purposes. The trading examples we illustrate are based principally on
our volume indicators and market commentaries. Our main intent is to
show you how you can apply our volume indicators and to explain the
specific correlations that exist between volume spikes and the movement
of the indexes. We do not mean to imply that you should follow our exact
trades, but rather wish to suggest that you may make use of our volume
analytics to develop your own trading style. We also urge you to paper
trade before committing your money to the markets.
For this “best trade”,
"Buy QQQQ Call #1" are opened
in order to close it later with profit if
the index moves in our favor.
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NASDAQ 100
Indicator
NASDAQ 100
Advance-Decline Volume Ratio
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If one of your trades has not yet been terminated (by the time you
report it as a “Best Trade), should I try to follow it?
Our "Best Trade" feature is designed primarily to teach you how
to use our volume indicators. We do not wish to suggest that you
should mimic these actual trades, even if they are still open. Only
follow an open trade if you are aware of the risks and if you have
access to real-time intraday volume charts (you can get these from
www.MarketVolume.com).
Whether or not we leave a particular “Best Trade” open is always
contingent on our volume indicators. For logistical reasons, we
cannot always send our newsletters out the same day we close a
specific trade. Even if we could, it would often be too late for you
to establish a position, since the market can reverse with very
little or no notice following a significant volume signal. For these
reasons, we strongly advise you against following an open position
on our “Best Trade” feature. Should you wish to do so regardless,
please assure that you have access to real-time intraday volume
charts.
In the following, we would like to show you
the motivating factors that led us to take above trades. For this
purpose, we have created what we call a 'Table of Trade Motivators':
|
Trade |
Volume Motivation |
Buy Call
#1
07/21/2004
Left Opened |
The
market did move lower today, and in the process of doing so it
also generated a good deal of supportive volume to the downside.
Initially the market opened slightly lower this morning. As the
market moved lower it began to produce an increasing amount of
supportive volume to the downside by 13:15. However, the market
continued its decline and as a result, the market produced an
even larger supportive VMA spike to the downside at 14:15 and
14:50 . By 15:45 the market resumed its decline, catalyzing the
production of an even larger supportive VMA spike to the
downside, which came to a peak by the end of the day. The market
closed at or near its lows for the day. |
These are the trades which netted the
returns shown above:
Date |
Trade |
Strike |
Expiration |
Contracts |
Contract
Price |
Amount |
Profit |
| 08/03/2004 |
Buy Call #1 |
$34 |
September - QAVIH |
75 |
$1.35 |
-$10125 |
|
|
Total: |
0 |
For this week’s “trade of the
week”, "Buy QQQQ Call #1"
are opened
in order to close it later with profit if the index moves in our
favor.
To see
any of our past best trades, simply select from
the list below.
|
Date |
Indicator |
|
September 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 10, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 9, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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September 2, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 31, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 19, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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August 18, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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August 15, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 5, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
|
August 3, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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July 31 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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July 21, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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July 14, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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July 13, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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July 1, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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June 23, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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June 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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June 6, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 30, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 25, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 20, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 16, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 12, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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May 09, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 10,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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April 6, 2004 |
S&P 500
Options |
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March 28,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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March 14,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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March 7, 2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 29,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 22,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 15,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 8,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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February 1,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 25,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 18,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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January 12,
2004 |
QQQQ Options |
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